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First question: I don't think so. The "g" in Pæga is a hard g (ipa /g/) while Paige has a soft g (ipa /dʒ/) indicating a French origin of that name. There is also a gender mismatch.

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Second question: I really don't know. A (week) counterargument is: Were the derivation of Pæga from "pagan" obvious, it would be the accepted etymology right now.

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--elbowin